Chicago Crime — Forecast Validation Dashboard

Table 1 — Validation scores (df_validate)

horizon	MAE	RMSE	R2	n
t+1 months	3.654	6.573	0.955	14000
t+2 months	4.242	8.367	0.925	14000
t+3 months	4.383	8.766	0.918	13000
t+4 months	4.542	9.304	0.907	12000

Table 2 — Feature importances (descending)

feature	importance
lag_1	0.641
lag_2	0.288
lag_3	0.017
year	0.012
month	0.010
lag_4	0.008
lag_6	0.007
lag_5	0.007
_level_skforecast	0.006